Action Insight Daily Report 4-26-18
| Action Insight Daily Report 4-26-18 | | EUR/USD Eying 1.2154 Key Support as Markets Seek ECB Draghi's View on Q1 Slowdown | Dollar retreats mildly in Asian session today but remains the strongest one for the week. US 10 year yield finally took out 3% level overnight with some conviction. TNX hit as high as 3.035 before closing at 3.024, up 0.041. The development helped lifted Dollar Index above key near term resistance at 91.01 to close at 91.17. The stage is set for Dollar to reverse its medium term down trend. Though, the greenback still have one more hurdle to overcome. That is, 1.2154 support in EUR/USD. That would very much depends on today's ECB rate decision and press conference, as well as US Q1 GDP data tomorrow. |  | 
|  | EUR/USD Daily Outlook Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2135; (P) 1.2186 (R1) 1.2213; More.... EUR/USD dropped to as low as 1.2159 so far and focus is now on 1.2154 key support. Decisive break there should confirm the bearish case of medium term reversal. In addition, the break of 100% projection of 1.2475 to 1.2214 from 1.2413 will indicate downside acceleration. In that case, EUR/USD should target 161.8% projection at 1.1991 next. In case of recovery, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.2244 minor resistance holds. And further decline is still expected. However, break of 1.2244 will indicate strong support from 1.2154 and turn intraday bias back to the upside for 1.2413, to extend recent range trading. |  | | GMT | Ccy | Events | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised | | 1:30 | AUD | Import price index Q/Q Q1 | 2.10% | 1.20% | 2.00% | | | 6:00 | EUR | German GfK Consumer Confidence May | | 10.8 | 10.9 | | | 8:30 | GBP | BBA Loans for House Purchase Mar | | 37.1K | 38.1K | | | 10:00 | GBP | CBI Reported Sales Apr | | -2 | -8 | | | 11:45 | EUR | ECB Rate Decision | | 0.00% | 0.00% | | | 12:30 | USD | Initial Jobless Claims (APR 21) | | 230K | 232K | | | 12:30 | USD | Advance Goods Trade Balance Mar | | -74.8B | -75.9B | | | 12:30 | USD | Wholesale Inventories M/M Mar P | | 0.60% | 1.00% | | | 12:30 | USD | Durable Goods Orders Mar P | | 1.40% | 3.00% | | | 12:30 | USD | Durables Ex Transportation Mar P | | 0.40% | 1.00% | | | 14:30 | USD | Natural Gas Storage | | | -36B | | | | |