Action Insight Mid-Day Report 4-20-18
| Action Insight Mid-Day Report 4-20-18 | | Canadian Dollar Selloff Extends after CPI and Retail Sales Misses, Dollar Rally Accelerating | Dollar's broad based rally continues today and is showing sign of acceleration. In particular, while Euro has been rather resilient, EUR/USD is starting to be dragged down by others as it dips through 1.23. While there is still some way to go, focus is now back o 1.2214 support and a break there could prompt further rally in the greenback. Meanwhile, Japanese Yen seems to be relatively immune against Dollar as USD/JPY is still bounded in range below 107.77. As the current rally in Dollar is more driven by surging treasury yields than anything else, development in both will be the main focus before the week closes. |  | USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2611; (P) 1.2643; (R1) 1.2702; More.... USD/CAD's rebound from 1.2526 extends to as high as 1.2716 so far, breaking 38.2% retracement of 1.2942 to 1.2526 at 1.2685. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.2725) and above. For now, such recovery is seen as a correction. Hence, we'd expect strong resistance below 1.2814 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. Below 1.2630 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2526. However, sustained break of 1.2814 will turn focus back to 1.3124 instead. |  | | GMT | Ccy | Events | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised | | 23:30 | JPY | National CPI Core Y/Y Mar | 0.90% | 0.90% | 1.00% | | | 04:30 | JPY | Tertiary Industry Index M/M Feb | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.60% | -0.40% | | 06:00 | EUR | German PPI M/M Mar | 0.10% | 0.20% | -0.10% | | | 06:00 | EUR | German PPI Y/Y Mar | 1.90% | 2.00% | 1.80% | | | 12:30 | CAD | Retail Sales M/M Feb | 0.40% | 0.50% | 0.30% | 0.10% | | 12:30 | CAD | Retail Sales Ex Auto M/M Feb | 0.00% | 0.50% | 0.90% | 1.00% | | 12:30 | CAD | CPI M/M Mar | 0.30% | 0.40% | 0.60% | | | 12:30 | CAD | CPI Y/Y Mar | 2.30% | 2.40% | 2.20% | | | 12:30 | CAD | CPI Core - Common Y/Y Mar | 1.90% | 2.00% | 1.90% | | | 12:30 | CAD | CPI Core - Median Y/Y Mar | 2.10% | 2.20% | 2.10% | | | 12:30 | CAD | CPI Core - Trim Y/Y Mar | 2.00% | 2.10% | 2.10% | | | 14:00 | EUR | Eurozone Consumer Confidence Apr A | | -0.1 | 0.1 | | | | |